Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.280921 0.327117 0.378177 0.438753 0.508612 0.586605 0.680245
2025-04-13 0.196160 0.255531 0.328399 0.424192 0.546593 0.697536 0.897593
2025-04-20 0.157022 0.221744 0.307367 0.428468 0.594841 0.814845 1.127273
2025-04-27 0.137046 0.206665 0.304537 0.451374 0.665186 0.964121 1.412580
2025-05-04 0.119818 0.191355 0.297395 0.464844 0.721238 1.097318 1.688683
2025-05-11 0.104388 0.175603 0.286336 0.469445 0.762742 1.211769 1.948046
2025-05-18 0.090641 0.159978 0.272653 0.467037 0.791513 1.308075 2.188010
2025-05-25 0.078704 0.145311 0.258106 0.460545 0.811689 1.391331 2.414157
2025-06-01 0.069340 0.133557 0.246597 0.457115 0.835581 1.481724 2.659802
2025-06-08 0.059742 0.119881 0.229771 0.441842 0.836430 1.532179 2.840968
2025-06-15 0.057393 0.119442 0.236646 0.470079 0.917802 1.730001 3.300413
2025-06-22 0.050125 0.108309 0.222026 0.455968 0.918833 1.783230 3.502054
2025-06-29 0.043518 0.097703 0.207342 0.440434 0.916360 1.831584 3.703598
2025-07-06 0.037929 0.088430 0.194164 0.426320 0.915160 1.882516 3.916366
2025-07-13 0.034757 0.083932 0.190209 0.430642 0.951547 2.009945 4.292353
2025-07-20 0.033468 0.083489 0.194803 0.453662 1.029357 2.227745 4.872689
2025-07-27 0.031532 0.081236 0.195099 0.467197 1.088167 2.411991 5.401200
2025-08-03 0.029154 0.077555 0.191669 0.471821 1.127698 2.559208 5.864997
2025-08-10 0.026580 0.072989 0.185565 0.469401 1.150824 2.672881 6.266153
2025-08-17 0.024046 0.068138 0.178143 0.462878 1.163588 2.764683 6.627206
2025-08-24 0.021953 0.064137 0.172289 0.459431 1.183158 2.873447 7.036927
2025-08-31 0.019489 0.058739 0.162201 0.444084 1.171992 2.910163 7.282685
2025-09-07 0.019306 0.059731 0.168800 0.472458 1.272656 3.219127 8.202325